Baharaeen notes, correctly, that "For Trump’s detractors, including the Democrats, this means it’s important not to assume the vibes have shifted back in their direction just yet."
And what makes that so surprising is that Trump's single greatest institutional detractor, the vast majority of the Legacy media, has been consistent and relentless in its glass-half-empty negative coverage of Trump1 and Trump2.
That the President is not entirely underwater in opinion polls is arguably less a measure of his steadfast base support than the ongoing loss of credibility by a mainstream media that has abandoned any notion of political objectivity.
Most of the Democrats are doing anything but keeping their eye on the ball. Rather they are searching for unpopular hills to die on. They need to, but apparently won't, listen to Ruy
Astounding that you guys still don't get that these are hoax polls. It was proven in 2016 when Trump ran ahead of EVERY pollster except Baris and Trafalgar, proven again last year when he ran AHEAD of every pollster except Ras, Baris, Trafalgar, and Atlas. Currently NONE of those four have him underwater, most have him at all time highs. The polling cartel, particularly the Trump haters of MSN, Monmouth (which is one of the very worst), and above all Fox routinely do not even come close to sampling Trump's supporters. NOT. EVEN. CLOSE. This is particularly true of new, first time, younger, or blue-collar voters, and especially true when there is no election at stake.
This is yet one more reason why Democrats continue to lose.
Something is up over at YouGov, too. Over a very long period of time, I happen to be a consistent poll taker and the numbers look like they either aren't being adjusted to reflect the adjustment they should have made after November, they've lost some poll takers, or their system is being gamed. I think it's the latter. When you've been around a long time, you see certain patterns. They are usually within a certain threshold. In mid-February or the beginning of March, it looks to me like some activists (a lot) were approved or lied to get in. The issues are constantly 70/30 and we aren't talking about big questions. It's happening on almost every poll. Im sure they try to keep it weeded out but people lie. At this moment, I wouldn't trust a single poll from them.
Mainstream poll after mainstream poll has been completely wrong over the last decade, and they have all managed to get it wrong with a tilt toward Democrats. It is lunacy to keep up the same reliance on these unreliable sources to gauge real political sentiments of the public.
I voted for Trump all 3 times, but do not consider myself a Trumpster. I was never a Hilary fan (although I think Bill was a very good President), I did not think Biden was up to the job, and I could not stomach Harris and even more so Walz. I cannot stand the far left social and cultural views that too much of the party has, and even those that don't have those beliefs are hesitant to speak out against it. Give me a moderate Democrat, at true moderate, not someone like Harris who fakes it a couple of months before an election, and I will happily vote for that person.
Trump’s first 100 days call to mind two passages from Machiavelli’s The Prince. First is his admonition that changing the existing order of things is the most difficult undertaking a leader can attempt due to the alarm of those who benefit from the existing order and the trepidation of those who are skeptical of the benefits of the new order. Second is his advice that when a new ruler finds it necessary to be temporarily cruel to the governed as part of the implementation of the new order, the ruler should inflict all of that pain at once immediately so that the memory of it fades as the benefits of the new order take effect over time. Trump seems to be following Machiavelli’s recommendation: Rather than concern himself with keeping up his poll numbers in fear of losing support before the midterms, he is focused on making substantive changes that involve short-term pain in the belief that the benefits will be in full effect by Labor Day 2026. His strategy may not succeed, but there is a strong chance that it will, and if it does, it may shift the balance of power in American politics for many years to come.
"they hope to help facilitate such a shift, they must keep their eye on the ball and hit Trump where he’s most vulnerable: the economy"
What in the Dem worldview do they have, that would make people think they are now the party of the economy? Your generality looks great. But, as they say, they devil is in the details and the Dems have no details. "I'll unite the country and find it's soul. joe is sharper than he has ever been."
Just wishing and hoping the passage of time will cure these ills seems like a poor strategy. Most of all, Bernie's elation over numbers at rallies. It's California. The news would have been if they had got any fewer from the base showing up. 39.4 Californians and the best you can do is 30,000? 7%.
Yes. The Democrat Party must hit Trump where he is weak right now, BUT what is their plan? There is no plan but to say Trump is bad. The Democrat Party looks ridiculous and if there is continued violence against Tesla and more singing protest songs, things will only get worse for Democrats.
I'm conservative, don't like Trump's antics, don't like far left at all, am writing my representatives telling them to quit being wimps & actually start writing laws, quit letting Trump do just executive orders because all that will be a wash, & there are actually NEEDED CHANGES & that's why Trump was elected. 2026 could very well see a change in power & the Republicans need to make laws now.
If you don't know how to contact your representative call the capitol switchboard; 202-224-3121 & ask to be connected to your representative's office.
eta: I don't give a flip about polls. I've never been asked to take one. Is that what spam calls are?
Trump doesn’t care about poll numbers - he’s term limited. Nor does he care about anyone else besides himself, his family and cronies. So if you are a member of congress up for ejection - tough.
some of the polls showing Trump's diminishing support are skewed and not reliable. For instance there may be certain groups' numbers that are larger that are against him no matter what he does. Other polls show the opposite, that he is supported. 100 days does not create a picture of true policy. He is bold in many executive orders, but these are easily changeable. Some things he has done are scary because of family that has been affected employment-wise, but on the whole it is a wait and see. The Middle East situation is most troublesome because of his relationship with the Jews. Let's hope Iran comes to the table for nuke talks soon. The bombing of Yemen is not productive either.
The economy is going to get worse. Of course that will lower inflation but that isn't what will matter to people, at the end of the day our ability to pay for necessities is how we measure.
Will it matter to Trump? I doubt it, he is a lame duck, no upcoming elections for him. The house will switch in the mid terms anyway, no matter what.
I'm wondering what the post 100 day plan is. What sort of things do the Trump folks plan on doing beyond the shock and awe period.
The 100 days is a relic of FDR and should basically be ignored. The key is what happens for the rest of the year and into 2026, as you say. Inflation is neither better nor worse than it has been. Trade policy is still in play. Congressional parties both seem determined to lose the midterms. History is on your side about the midterms but the trends always continue until they don't.
After the election, a lot of attention was focused on the manosphere. A core vibe was that modern society unfairly favors women and their perspectives at the expense of men. Some argued that laws, media, and social norms are biased against men. Red pillers in the manosphere view feminism as having gone "too far," arguing that it actively harms men and seeks female dominance rather than equality.
Voters didn't drift towards Trump because of some rose-colored view of the first Trump Administration.
The Democratic Party drove them to Trump by their actions and their attitudes.
Baharaeen notes, correctly, that "For Trump’s detractors, including the Democrats, this means it’s important not to assume the vibes have shifted back in their direction just yet."
And what makes that so surprising is that Trump's single greatest institutional detractor, the vast majority of the Legacy media, has been consistent and relentless in its glass-half-empty negative coverage of Trump1 and Trump2.
That the President is not entirely underwater in opinion polls is arguably less a measure of his steadfast base support than the ongoing loss of credibility by a mainstream media that has abandoned any notion of political objectivity.
Most of the Democrats are doing anything but keeping their eye on the ball. Rather they are searching for unpopular hills to die on. They need to, but apparently won't, listen to Ruy
Hope springs eternal. It will take a while before the public forgets the media’s Kamala “vibe” campaign, so seriously step away.
Astounding that you guys still don't get that these are hoax polls. It was proven in 2016 when Trump ran ahead of EVERY pollster except Baris and Trafalgar, proven again last year when he ran AHEAD of every pollster except Ras, Baris, Trafalgar, and Atlas. Currently NONE of those four have him underwater, most have him at all time highs. The polling cartel, particularly the Trump haters of MSN, Monmouth (which is one of the very worst), and above all Fox routinely do not even come close to sampling Trump's supporters. NOT. EVEN. CLOSE. This is particularly true of new, first time, younger, or blue-collar voters, and especially true when there is no election at stake.
This is yet one more reason why Democrats continue to lose.
Something is up over at YouGov, too. Over a very long period of time, I happen to be a consistent poll taker and the numbers look like they either aren't being adjusted to reflect the adjustment they should have made after November, they've lost some poll takers, or their system is being gamed. I think it's the latter. When you've been around a long time, you see certain patterns. They are usually within a certain threshold. In mid-February or the beginning of March, it looks to me like some activists (a lot) were approved or lied to get in. The issues are constantly 70/30 and we aren't talking about big questions. It's happening on almost every poll. Im sure they try to keep it weeded out but people lie. At this moment, I wouldn't trust a single poll from them.
Interestingly, Rasmussen published a poll today that says 71% think polls are rigged.
Mainstream poll after mainstream poll has been completely wrong over the last decade, and they have all managed to get it wrong with a tilt toward Democrats. It is lunacy to keep up the same reliance on these unreliable sources to gauge real political sentiments of the public.
I voted for Trump all 3 times, but do not consider myself a Trumpster. I was never a Hilary fan (although I think Bill was a very good President), I did not think Biden was up to the job, and I could not stomach Harris and even more so Walz. I cannot stand the far left social and cultural views that too much of the party has, and even those that don't have those beliefs are hesitant to speak out against it. Give me a moderate Democrat, at true moderate, not someone like Harris who fakes it a couple of months before an election, and I will happily vote for that person.
Trump’s first 100 days call to mind two passages from Machiavelli’s The Prince. First is his admonition that changing the existing order of things is the most difficult undertaking a leader can attempt due to the alarm of those who benefit from the existing order and the trepidation of those who are skeptical of the benefits of the new order. Second is his advice that when a new ruler finds it necessary to be temporarily cruel to the governed as part of the implementation of the new order, the ruler should inflict all of that pain at once immediately so that the memory of it fades as the benefits of the new order take effect over time. Trump seems to be following Machiavelli’s recommendation: Rather than concern himself with keeping up his poll numbers in fear of losing support before the midterms, he is focused on making substantive changes that involve short-term pain in the belief that the benefits will be in full effect by Labor Day 2026. His strategy may not succeed, but there is a strong chance that it will, and if it does, it may shift the balance of power in American politics for many years to come.
I refer to public approval ratings as The Six Flags model. Popularity goes up and down rapidly.
"they hope to help facilitate such a shift, they must keep their eye on the ball and hit Trump where he’s most vulnerable: the economy"
What in the Dem worldview do they have, that would make people think they are now the party of the economy? Your generality looks great. But, as they say, they devil is in the details and the Dems have no details. "I'll unite the country and find it's soul. joe is sharper than he has ever been."
Just wishing and hoping the passage of time will cure these ills seems like a poor strategy. Most of all, Bernie's elation over numbers at rallies. It's California. The news would have been if they had got any fewer from the base showing up. 39.4 Californians and the best you can do is 30,000? 7%.
Yes. The Democrat Party must hit Trump where he is weak right now, BUT what is their plan? There is no plan but to say Trump is bad. The Democrat Party looks ridiculous and if there is continued violence against Tesla and more singing protest songs, things will only get worse for Democrats.
I'm conservative, don't like Trump's antics, don't like far left at all, am writing my representatives telling them to quit being wimps & actually start writing laws, quit letting Trump do just executive orders because all that will be a wash, & there are actually NEEDED CHANGES & that's why Trump was elected. 2026 could very well see a change in power & the Republicans need to make laws now.
If you don't know how to contact your representative call the capitol switchboard; 202-224-3121 & ask to be connected to your representative's office.
eta: I don't give a flip about polls. I've never been asked to take one. Is that what spam calls are?
Trump doesn’t care about poll numbers - he’s term limited. Nor does he care about anyone else besides himself, his family and cronies. So if you are a member of congress up for ejection - tough.
some of the polls showing Trump's diminishing support are skewed and not reliable. For instance there may be certain groups' numbers that are larger that are against him no matter what he does. Other polls show the opposite, that he is supported. 100 days does not create a picture of true policy. He is bold in many executive orders, but these are easily changeable. Some things he has done are scary because of family that has been affected employment-wise, but on the whole it is a wait and see. The Middle East situation is most troublesome because of his relationship with the Jews. Let's hope Iran comes to the table for nuke talks soon. The bombing of Yemen is not productive either.
The economy is going to get worse. Of course that will lower inflation but that isn't what will matter to people, at the end of the day our ability to pay for necessities is how we measure.
Will it matter to Trump? I doubt it, he is a lame duck, no upcoming elections for him. The house will switch in the mid terms anyway, no matter what.
I'm wondering what the post 100 day plan is. What sort of things do the Trump folks plan on doing beyond the shock and awe period.
The 100 days is a relic of FDR and should basically be ignored. The key is what happens for the rest of the year and into 2026, as you say. Inflation is neither better nor worse than it has been. Trade policy is still in play. Congressional parties both seem determined to lose the midterms. History is on your side about the midterms but the trends always continue until they don't.
After the election, a lot of attention was focused on the manosphere. A core vibe was that modern society unfairly favors women and their perspectives at the expense of men. Some argued that laws, media, and social norms are biased against men. Red pillers in the manosphere view feminism as having gone "too far," arguing that it actively harms men and seeks female dominance rather than equality.