
đ âThe Techno-Humanist Manifesto: A new philosophy of progress for the 21st century,â by Jason Crawford. Curious about the progress movement? This detailed 11-part manifesto by one of the movementâs leading lights and founder of the Roots of Progress Institute covers all the big issues the movement is trying to grapple withâand the vision of the future they want us to embrace. Highly recommended.
[W]e need an inspiring vision of the future to motivate the effort and strife that progress requires. Science, technology, and the economy require continual investment, and each new generation must receive and carry the torch. Inventors and entrepreneurs of the Industrial Revolution were motivated by the power of steam and all that it could be applied to; those of the late 19th century were enthralled by electricity; the scientists and engineers in the late 20th century who went to NASA had grown up on Star Trek. If we are to make progress today, it will be driven by technologists who are fascinated with the potential for technologies such as artificial intelligence or genetic engineering. We must believe in the future in order to build it.
Fear and skepticism of progress put us at risk of stagnation and decline. The defeatism that arose in the 20th century about the challenges of progress does not give us a way forward. We need a new philosophy of progress for the 21st century, and beyond.
The time for that philosophy is now. Stagnation and sclerosis have become too painful to ignore.
Key economic metrics such as GDP and total factor productivity have been slowing down for decades. Even though computing technology is still racing ahead, other fields are lagging behind. Manufacturing, construction, transportation, and energy have seen no new general-purpose technologies since the 1960sâcontrast with the period 1880â1940, which saw the invention of electrical power, synthetic plastics, the assembly line, the automobile and the airplane. Nuclear power was once on track to be the dominant source of world electricity; instead, it plateaued at about 10%. The Concorde was grounded, and the planes we fly today actually go a bit slower than the jets of the 1960s. The Apollo program was canceled; no human has left low-Earth orbit since 1972.
đ Where Have All the Democrats Gone? The Soul of the Party in the Age of Extremes, by John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira. There are several recent reports and articles out about the Democratsâ malaise that we highly recommend. But as a gentle reminder, TLP had four years of posts leading up to the 2024 presidential election warning Democrats about the dangers of their party brand, their out-of-touch policy agenda, and their reliance on college-educated voters at the expense of the working class. Even better, John and Ruy laid out all of thisâalong with a path forward for Democratsâin superb detail in their book published one year before the election.
The America of today is vastly different from the America of the 1930s, but what the Democrats need today is a general approach to politics that is similar to that of the New Deal liberals. The New Deal liberals were liberal, progressive, and social democratic in their economic views, dedicated to creating a better balance of power between labor and business and security against poverty, unemployment, disease, and old age, but by todayâs standards, the New Deal Democrats were moderate and even small-c conservative in their social outlook. They extolled âthe American way of lifeâ (a term popularized in the 1930s); they used patriotic symbols like the âBlue Eagleâ to promote their programs. In 1940, Rooseveltâs official campaign song was Irving Berlinâs âGod Bless America.â Under Roosevelt, Thanksgiving, Veterans Day, and Columbus Day were made into federal holidays. Roosevelt turned the annual Christmas tree lighting into a national event. Rooseveltâs politics were those of âthe peopleâ (a term summed up in Carl Sandburgâs 1936 poem âThe People, Yesâ) and of the âforgotten American.â
The Democrats need to follow this example. They need to press economic reforms that benefit the working and middle classes. But to get a hearing on those promises, they must first declare a truce and find a middle ground in todayâs culture war between Democrats and Republicans so that they can once again become the party of the people.
Since Ruy and John are not ones to toot their own horn, weâll do it for themâbuy and read this book!
đ° âA Republic, but Can We Keep It?,â by Peggy Noonan. In her WSJ column, Ronald Reaganâs former speechwriter reflects on the events of this year, especially the past few months. And while she is not down on the future of the republic just yet, she suggests thereâs reason to âwonder and worryâ about it.
Ben Franklin, famously asked by a woman on the street in Philadelphia what sort of government the Constitutional Convention had wrought, is reported to have said, âA republic, if you can keep it.â The reply was wry and factual but also a warning: Republics are hard to maintain.
Are we maintaining ours?
Democrats worry about our democracy. Is that the area of greatest recent erosion? I doubt it. Donald Trump really won in 2016, you can trust those numbers, and he really lost in â20, and really won in â24. Your governor won, your congressmanâyou can pretty much trust the numbers even factoring in the mischief in any system built by man. When shocks happenââI just want to find 11,780 votesââthe system has still held. The state of Georgia told the president to take a hike in 2020. If youâve spent much of your adult life deriding the concept of statesâ rights, that moment would have complicated your view.
It isnât our democracy that I worry about, it is our republic. Thatâs where weâre seeing erosion, thatâs the thing we could loseâŚAre we maintaining our republic? Is our equilibrium holding? The last nine months a lot of lines seem to have been crossedâin the use of the military, in redirecting the Justice Department to target the presidentâs enemies, real and perceived. There are many areas in which youâve come to think: Isnât the executive assuming powers of the Congress here? Why is Congress allowing this?
đď¸ Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere. Biopics arenât for everyone. But if you like Bruce Springsteen, and especially if you like the stripped-down Boss on Nebraska, youâll enjoy this new movie. Jeremy Allen White of The Bear fame does a fantastic job playing a young Springsteen in the throes of dark times before he became a worldwide superstar with the release of Born in the U.S.A. in 1984. There are great shots of Asbury Park, and Whiteâs singing is top-notch. In conjunction with the movie release, thereâs also a fascinating four-record box set of Nebraska out featuring remastered tracks, live cuts, and the famous electric versions of the record that Bruce rejected in favor of his homespun approach.
đ¸ George Best, Bizarro, and Seamonsters, by The Wedding Present. This year marks the 40th anniversary of these rock legends from Leeds, fronted by mastermind David Gedge since 1985. The first three records represent their âwarp-speed take on jangly, bittersweet indie popâ quite well. As John Peel famously quipped, âThe boy Gedge has written some of the best love songs of the âRock ânâ Rollâ era. You may dispute this, but Iâm right and youâre wrong!â
âThe Weddoesâ are planning a 2026 North American tour you wonât want to miss. They are fantastic live.
In the meantime, enjoy the ripping guitar and wall of sound on one of our favorite tracks, âKennedy.â





Regarding â what the Democrats need today is a general approach to politics that is similar to that of the New Deal liberals.â
Say it preacher!
I donât think most people, particularly those under age 60, realize how much the Democratic party has changed in the last 60 years.
https://frompovertytoprogress.substack.com/p/how-the-democrats-have-changed-since
Weekend open thread time, and as usual, if this is inappropriate please delete and Iâll never do it again.
Iâm going to break down the four main categories of transgenderism. Whatâs fascinating about it is that they are all wrong, but for very different reasons. I also want to say ahead of time that the second wave feminists and British TERFs are lightyears ahead of conservatives on this issue, and Iâm primarily leaning on them. Also I used reality-based pronouns but am happy to use preferred names as names are social constructs.
Category 1: Feminine gay boys
This type emerges early in childhood. These are boys who reject the textbook markers of masculine identity at a young age: toy preference (dolls over trucks), lack rough-and-tumble play preference, and sex of playmate preference (girls over boys). Boys are not accepting of gender nonconformance and tend to isolate and ostracize these boys, so they very quickly identify as girls.
The tragedy is that most of these boys overwhelmingly desist and grow up to be happily feminine gay men. Puberty is not the enemy of gender dysphoria, but the cure. âOh Iâm not a girl, Iâm a gay man!â This was the conventional wisdom in the early youth gender clinics like the famous Dutch clinic and Ken Zuckerâs clinic in Toronto. Multiple research studies by James Cantor, Baer Karrington and others also back this up.
What about the 20% or so that donât desist? Shouldnât they be allowed to transition? Transition before puberty does allow these boys to pass better, but the price is very high. Males have to go through male puberty for their genitalia and sexual functioning to develop. Marci Bowers, the president of WPATH and leading gender surgeon, says that he is unaware of a single case of a boy who had puberty blocked before tanner stage 2 who ever had an orgasm. So these boys will never have a sexually fulfilling relationship.
These individuals do want to pass as closely as possible as women, which means they usually get bottom surgery to turn their penis into a neovagina. That is a form of butchery that I wouldnât wish on my worst enemy. It requires creating what is essentially a permanent open wound in the groin and a lifelong process of dilation to keep it from closing. If it does close, it can easily turn septic. And because they have puberty blocked, they cannot use the âturn penis inside outâ technique. Their penis has not grown yet. Instead they use part of the colon, which brings bacteria that typically colonize the colon to their neovagina. This surgery has extremely high rates of complications. Jazz Jennings, of the TV show âI am Jazzâ is literally the poster child of gender affirming care and he has had four revisions to this surgery. Most trans-identified males with this surgery cannot have penetrative sex because their neovagina lacks depth and is painful. A study in Sweden found that the suicide rate goes up 30x after about a dozen years. I suspect thatâs when people accept the reality that another revision isnât going to help them.
A final problem is that these men are now in competition with straight women to find straight male partners. Is this really better than mental health treatments for gender dysphoria?
Category 2: Adolescent girls
Apologies to all the ladies for mansplaining womanhood! (Ha! This is a safe space, right?) Girls do not punish their peers for gender-nonconforming behavior. So girls who are tomboys can freely move between male and female spaces as pre-adolescents without much shame or censure. At least in most cases. But puberty does a number on pretty much all girls. These girls who could once run and jump and wrestle with the boys as equals find that puberty created an uncrossable wall between them. Boys that they used to athletically dominate now tower over them and can effortlessly outrun them. To add insult to injury, their previously lithe and athletic bodies are now weighed down by subcutaneous fat and breasts designed to feed and nourish babies. They used to be invisible, and could play sports shirtless, but now men older than their fathers are leering at their now-sexualized bodies.
Lesbians are one of the main categories of children getting âgender affirming care [sic]â. Hannah Barnes wrote âTime to Thinkâ about why England closed their only youth gender clinic and she explains that the clinicians there used to make dark jokes that when they were done, there would be no gay kids left. You might think that they were infiltrated by religious conservatives, but no, they were super-woke leftists. You have to appreciate that in postmodern leftism, transgenderism is Gay 2.0. Itâs the upgrade.
Somewhat ironically, liberals have created the most widespread and medically harmful form of gay conversion therapy ever invented.
However, not all adolescent girls seeking gender affirming care are lesbians. Many are straight and they all have major comorbidities like autism, bipolar disorder, depression, and so on. They are girls who are on the receiving end of relational aggression and struggle the manage the complex ephemeral dynamics of female hierarchies. So they drop out of real life and into online culture. It doesnât take long to discover the queer community and they quickly âretconâ their social isolation and loneliness as proof that they werenât girls after all, but boys.
The most heartbreaking case is girls who were sexually abused. A heterosexual girls goes through puberty, which initially excites her, but then her changing body attracts the attention of a soccer coach, or an uncle, or a stepdad. Sheâs filled with shame and trauma and develops a sense of horror about her own body. Her changing body wasnât a sign of impending womanhood, but something that marked her as a victim. As Hannah Barnes points out, although not quite this bluntly, when these girls go to gender clinics the clinicians have a choice. Option A: report the abusers to the police. Option B: put her on puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and chop off her breasts. Clinicians have overwhelmingly chosen option B and victimized these girls a second time.
Iâm convinced that the âangel of mercyâ nurses archetype is quite common among therapists, and the therapists never get caught or prosecuted.