Even if you think the GOP is "losing" on the OBBB, based solely on selective use of polling, it is helpful to be truthful and accurate while describing it, even if you oppose it. The "cuts" are not cuts at all (Medicare spending will continue to increase), unless you're 1) an illegal or "undocumented" immigrant, and 2) you're an able-bodied person between ages 18-64 who refuses to work at least 20 hours a week, even in a "community service" volunteer position. Those are weaker work requirements than Bill Clinton eventually agreed to in the 1990s welfare reform bills. And it ignores the $50 billion rural hospital fund that helps those marginal facilities. I would never hire this author's firm for a truthful and rational analysis. Do better. It does underscore the need for the GOP to come up with a common-sense health care/insurance reform proposal, not unlike the Consumer Choice and Health Security Act of the early 1990s.
No, not just redistricting. This is an astoundingly narrow understanding of what is happening.
Democrats are fighting FIVE internal civil wars, the most important of which is that they are pitting illegal criminal alien invaders vs. their own inner city residents; they are still diddling with green when the whole tech sector is demanding more power, more oil than ever; they are still trying to support Israel on the one hand and people like Mamdani who has posed with Muslim terrorists, on the other; they still don't know whether to claim Biden was a good president or an Alzheimer's patient; and they still have not resolved the war on men.
Meanwhile, the GOP is riding not one, not two, but FOUR waves:
*Deportation is removing at least so far up to 1 million Democrat voters. At a rate of self-deports and administration deports of 2m a year, the D party will be down close to 4 million voters by 2028.
*Voter roll purges are overwhelmingly removing more Ds than Rs. By my estimates, this will account for another minimum of 1m missing D voters.
*Voter registration shifts are, with very temporary primary periods in NJ and PA, all moving heavily to Rs (NM +5,000 since September, NC down to just a 6,000 D lead, PA Ds now have a lead of less than 10% of what they had eight years ago when they lost. Since Nov., we're looking at an astonishing 2.1m shift nationwide. Look for this to grow. (AZ's R lead is now 3x what it was in 2020.)
*Redistricting, already ensures a LOCK for the GOP in 2026 by at least 1 safe seat and possibly 3, regardless of what happens in any "tossup" or with any D-R flip, of which there will be some
*The Supes are about to boot racial districting, which will add another minimum 10 House seats.
This is why Ken Martin is saying "elections don't matter," because, well, they won't matter for Ds in the near future. Ordinary people, while they may not tell pollsters as much, are getting PERSONALLY afraid of Ds' violence. Now we learn that Trump admin people have to relocate into military bases because of the terror threats by Ds against them. No, this is not going to reverse, and no single bill---pass or not---is in any way going to affect any of these shifts.
Reps missed a real opportunity. They could have simply taken 2019 spending numbers, increased everything by 2% and change, for the population increase, while killing any spending insanity either Party has chucked into thousand page omnibus spending bills, over the years.
As for healthcare, both sides refuse to acknowledge the underlying problem. It is the perfect storm of US healthcare being wildly too expensive, with far too many people residing in the US, unable to cover or even contribute to their own health insurance and/or healthcare costs, whether thru the workplace or unsubsidized insurance.
Those of us who played with dinosaurs as children, were taught the US secret sauce was our vast Middle Class, 10% at the top , 10% at the bottom, and 80% in the middle that were economically self sufficient. Tax payer programs provided for the bottom 10%, and needs they could not cover themselves, while all enjoyed the highest living standards in the world.
40% Of Californians and 36% of New York state residents are now Medicaid dependent. Only a few other states even approach that percentage, and they have far less population, so they add far fewer people to the total national Medicaid numbers. If 40% of Wyoming residents were Medicaid dependent, the federal government would be paying for the medical care of 250K people. When it is 40% of Californians it adds 13 million people to the rolls. Generally speaking, the US is now most poor, in the most populated places in the US.
Nationwide, roughly 89 million people are now Medicaid dependent, or 26% of the population, before we get to other subsidized medical care, outside the workplace. It all has to be paid by someone. On top of that, toss in Medicare, where the vast majority of retirees take out far more, than they paid in, even accounting for the time value of money.
Insurance is based on the notion, in any natural occurring group, some people will use more resources, others will use less, while the premiums collected from all, will cover total expenditures.
In the US, more than 25% of people no longer pay any healthcare premiums, and virtually no direct costs. Nearly no Medicare enrollee uses less resources than they paid in, except those who perish before age 65. This means whatever we have, we do not have medical insurance, but some sort of medical Ponzi scheme, ultimately paid by taxpayers or with printed dollars. That problem is far more important than how it effect elections.
Too long and meaningless to read. Nothing to see here.
It's getting harder and harder to keep reading political musing everyday. Because everyday, sites like the LP and FP have to find topics to write about. The FP is branching out, but not to the type of "news" I am looking for. Human interest can only go so far. I have also found it easier to listen to the audios on the FP. They don't cover the whole article but then, current writing styles seem to tend towards the way to long. I'm pretty sure no one cares about such musings lf mine. But with three years of Trump to go, nothing today seems relevant to the ending 3 years from now. Even if the Dems take control o,f the House or Senate, they'll have no power to get anything done. Except we would have to tolerate 2 years of the left pushing made up impeachment articles and even ore nothing getting done. With no policies or principles that's all the Dems would have.
So I ask, why should anyone care? Isn't there more different news to report? Bari at CBS will be a great story to watch.
But a once a week round up from the LP would be great. A quick synopsis of what they said during the week. Not different topics like their weekend articles now have.
What the name of a bill was or is, is irrelevant, as we saw with the Inflation reduction act. The falsity in the name will soon be exposed, people will look for the effects it has on their lives.
Or as the Who reminds us, see the new boss, same as the old boss.
It was a ridiculous bill that had a good part and lots of bad that will mostly show up after the midterms. How a supposedly conservative party can add to our massive debt is beyond me. My accountant tells me I had an effective tax rate of 6.4% last year, I pay more in sales tax, why I needed even more tax breaks I don't know.
It put lots of money towards DHS and ICE for immigration, one useful piece.
Medicaid is a mess. Funded by the feds and horribly administered by the states. Many states put confusing and crazy hoops to jump through to dissuade people who need Medicaid from getting on it. What they do is put the power of enrollment in the hands of social workers who can accept or deny based on if they like the person applying or not. In our state you can go through the county social services if you are on welfare or if you are simply applying you go through an out of state third party of customer service who are so poor they themselves have no health insurance and the phone backlog is hours. Make sure your phone is charged and that you don't have to go to work. Everyone below a certain income threshold is required to go on Medicaid, not via the affordable care act. Medicaid is a mess.
Want to keep immigrants off Medicaid? Good luck with that. Hospital emergency rooms still treat every person that walks through the door, have to, it's the law.
The GOP still has too many of the old style ones that haven't become Democrats. Kick the poor to the gutter and huge tax breaks for the rich.
Even if you think the GOP is "losing" on the OBBB, based solely on selective use of polling, it is helpful to be truthful and accurate while describing it, even if you oppose it. The "cuts" are not cuts at all (Medicare spending will continue to increase), unless you're 1) an illegal or "undocumented" immigrant, and 2) you're an able-bodied person between ages 18-64 who refuses to work at least 20 hours a week, even in a "community service" volunteer position. Those are weaker work requirements than Bill Clinton eventually agreed to in the 1990s welfare reform bills. And it ignores the $50 billion rural hospital fund that helps those marginal facilities. I would never hire this author's firm for a truthful and rational analysis. Do better. It does underscore the need for the GOP to come up with a common-sense health care/insurance reform proposal, not unlike the Consumer Choice and Health Security Act of the early 1990s.
No, not just redistricting. This is an astoundingly narrow understanding of what is happening.
Democrats are fighting FIVE internal civil wars, the most important of which is that they are pitting illegal criminal alien invaders vs. their own inner city residents; they are still diddling with green when the whole tech sector is demanding more power, more oil than ever; they are still trying to support Israel on the one hand and people like Mamdani who has posed with Muslim terrorists, on the other; they still don't know whether to claim Biden was a good president or an Alzheimer's patient; and they still have not resolved the war on men.
Meanwhile, the GOP is riding not one, not two, but FOUR waves:
*Deportation is removing at least so far up to 1 million Democrat voters. At a rate of self-deports and administration deports of 2m a year, the D party will be down close to 4 million voters by 2028.
*Voter roll purges are overwhelmingly removing more Ds than Rs. By my estimates, this will account for another minimum of 1m missing D voters.
*Voter registration shifts are, with very temporary primary periods in NJ and PA, all moving heavily to Rs (NM +5,000 since September, NC down to just a 6,000 D lead, PA Ds now have a lead of less than 10% of what they had eight years ago when they lost. Since Nov., we're looking at an astonishing 2.1m shift nationwide. Look for this to grow. (AZ's R lead is now 3x what it was in 2020.)
*Redistricting, already ensures a LOCK for the GOP in 2026 by at least 1 safe seat and possibly 3, regardless of what happens in any "tossup" or with any D-R flip, of which there will be some
*The Supes are about to boot racial districting, which will add another minimum 10 House seats.
This is why Ken Martin is saying "elections don't matter," because, well, they won't matter for Ds in the near future. Ordinary people, while they may not tell pollsters as much, are getting PERSONALLY afraid of Ds' violence. Now we learn that Trump admin people have to relocate into military bases because of the terror threats by Ds against them. No, this is not going to reverse, and no single bill---pass or not---is in any way going to affect any of these shifts.
Why are Dems voting in record numbers if there’s a ‘civil war’ going on?
Reps missed a real opportunity. They could have simply taken 2019 spending numbers, increased everything by 2% and change, for the population increase, while killing any spending insanity either Party has chucked into thousand page omnibus spending bills, over the years.
As for healthcare, both sides refuse to acknowledge the underlying problem. It is the perfect storm of US healthcare being wildly too expensive, with far too many people residing in the US, unable to cover or even contribute to their own health insurance and/or healthcare costs, whether thru the workplace or unsubsidized insurance.
Those of us who played with dinosaurs as children, were taught the US secret sauce was our vast Middle Class, 10% at the top , 10% at the bottom, and 80% in the middle that were economically self sufficient. Tax payer programs provided for the bottom 10%, and needs they could not cover themselves, while all enjoyed the highest living standards in the world.
40% Of Californians and 36% of New York state residents are now Medicaid dependent. Only a few other states even approach that percentage, and they have far less population, so they add far fewer people to the total national Medicaid numbers. If 40% of Wyoming residents were Medicaid dependent, the federal government would be paying for the medical care of 250K people. When it is 40% of Californians it adds 13 million people to the rolls. Generally speaking, the US is now most poor, in the most populated places in the US.
Nationwide, roughly 89 million people are now Medicaid dependent, or 26% of the population, before we get to other subsidized medical care, outside the workplace. It all has to be paid by someone. On top of that, toss in Medicare, where the vast majority of retirees take out far more, than they paid in, even accounting for the time value of money.
Insurance is based on the notion, in any natural occurring group, some people will use more resources, others will use less, while the premiums collected from all, will cover total expenditures.
In the US, more than 25% of people no longer pay any healthcare premiums, and virtually no direct costs. Nearly no Medicare enrollee uses less resources than they paid in, except those who perish before age 65. This means whatever we have, we do not have medical insurance, but some sort of medical Ponzi scheme, ultimately paid by taxpayers or with printed dollars. That problem is far more important than how it effect elections.
Too long and meaningless to read. Nothing to see here.
It's getting harder and harder to keep reading political musing everyday. Because everyday, sites like the LP and FP have to find topics to write about. The FP is branching out, but not to the type of "news" I am looking for. Human interest can only go so far. I have also found it easier to listen to the audios on the FP. They don't cover the whole article but then, current writing styles seem to tend towards the way to long. I'm pretty sure no one cares about such musings lf mine. But with three years of Trump to go, nothing today seems relevant to the ending 3 years from now. Even if the Dems take control o,f the House or Senate, they'll have no power to get anything done. Except we would have to tolerate 2 years of the left pushing made up impeachment articles and even ore nothing getting done. With no policies or principles that's all the Dems would have.
So I ask, why should anyone care? Isn't there more different news to report? Bari at CBS will be a great story to watch.
But a once a week round up from the LP would be great. A quick synopsis of what they said during the week. Not different topics like their weekend articles now have.
What the name of a bill was or is, is irrelevant, as we saw with the Inflation reduction act. The falsity in the name will soon be exposed, people will look for the effects it has on their lives.
Or as the Who reminds us, see the new boss, same as the old boss.
Reminder to self, It's about the comments stupid!
It was a ridiculous bill that had a good part and lots of bad that will mostly show up after the midterms. How a supposedly conservative party can add to our massive debt is beyond me. My accountant tells me I had an effective tax rate of 6.4% last year, I pay more in sales tax, why I needed even more tax breaks I don't know.
It put lots of money towards DHS and ICE for immigration, one useful piece.
Medicaid is a mess. Funded by the feds and horribly administered by the states. Many states put confusing and crazy hoops to jump through to dissuade people who need Medicaid from getting on it. What they do is put the power of enrollment in the hands of social workers who can accept or deny based on if they like the person applying or not. In our state you can go through the county social services if you are on welfare or if you are simply applying you go through an out of state third party of customer service who are so poor they themselves have no health insurance and the phone backlog is hours. Make sure your phone is charged and that you don't have to go to work. Everyone below a certain income threshold is required to go on Medicaid, not via the affordable care act. Medicaid is a mess.
Want to keep immigrants off Medicaid? Good luck with that. Hospital emergency rooms still treat every person that walks through the door, have to, it's the law.
The GOP still has too many of the old style ones that haven't become Democrats. Kick the poor to the gutter and huge tax breaks for the rich.