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Norm Fox's avatar

Your link to Trump’s “assault” on collective bargaining shows that he’s only going after public sector unions, which even FDR understood were an anathema. The Free Press had a good article the other day pointing out that unions are increasingly representing white collar workers and promoting their interests over blue collar workers. A prime example of how upside down unions have gotten is the recent arrest of a union leader in LA who showed up not to protest a corrupt business owner engaging in human trafficking, and de facto slave labor. No he showed up to protest and interfere with the government agents there to shut him down. Unions seem to have forgotten what Caesar Chavez knew quite well. Illegal immigration harms American workers by depressing wages and lowering working conditions. Another prime example was a piece in the WSJ (lamenting because it’s the journal) that the meat packing plant that was raided for running an identity theft ring had to increase wages and improve working conditions in order to attract American workers. Quelle Horreur!

Democrats would do well to realize 2 things.

1). Your average American vastly prefers a good paying job to a government handout.

2). Once you peel away the sturm and drag and dispassionately look at the policies behind “Trumpism” you’ll find they look an awful lot like the policies of a mid-20th century Democratic Party that was actually pro-labor.

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Deborah's avatar

Well said. Unions had their day and helped achieve better working conditions. Now they seem to exist mainly to extort extravagant benefits from government entities.

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Richard's avatar

Good article. You (mostly) avoided Trump and talked about the longer term and more fundamental issues of society. One thing I would add is that a lot of the predation we see is international so any sort of vision to control predation has got to have a foreign policy component. Globalism, whether of the WEF variety or the Chinese variety, has hollowed out our industrial sector. It was precisely that sector that created the jobs that allowed the non-college population to aspire to a middle class lifestyle and family formation. Clearly, trying to move more and more people through college hasn't helped with that problem. Will current efforts at an industrial policy work? Too soon to tell but Democrats need to either get on board or develop an alternative. A couple of interesting data points lately include Bernie cheerleading for the Trump initiative of taking a stake in Intel and the Guardian noting that an independent Fed is sort of the antithesis of democracy. Democrats also need to stop blindly supporting our allies of yesteryear. The UK arrests 30-50 times the number of people for on-line speech as Russia does. Germany isn't as bad but they are trying. The EU is sabotaging peace efforts in both Ukraine and Gaza.

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Ronda Ross's avatar

Excellent synopsis. For many of us old enough to have played with dinosaurs, this feels like 1979, only worse. 64 million people are not gig workers because they have always dreamed of setting their own schedules. For every well compensated freelance software programmer or travel blogger, there are thousands marred in poverty driving Ubers or, ironically, delivering food, to keep a roof over their head and food on their own tables.

If we want to know how this ends, without great change, we need only look at CA, far ahead most of the rest of the US in globalization and mass migration. The CA Institute of Public Policy is a non partisan think tank funded by Hewlett Packard founders in the 90s, to study all things Californian. They calculate when the actual cost of CA living is considered, 1/3 of Californians live in poverty or just slightly better. When economic downturns arrive, that percentage approaches 40%.

Currently, a whopping 40% of Golden Staters are now enrolled in Medicaid. Despite it vastness and mild climate, CA has the worst or second worst home ownership rate in the US, depending on the year. CA is home to less than 15% of the US population, but nearly 50% of the nation's homeless. For more than a decade, CA led the country in both percentages and and numbers of kids receiving free and reduced school lunch. CA now provides free lunch for all kids, so the stat could disappear before Newsom runs for President.

Despite the high cost of living, more than 80% of new CA jobs produced in the last decade, have paid less than the state median wage. More than 40% of that 80%, paid wages in the bottom 2 wage quintiles. CA Blue Collar wages are some of the lowest in the nation, despite the high cost of living. Low wages are derived from a seemingly endless supply of exploitable illegal labor and business flight, due to taxes, regulation and energy costs.

The stats go on and on, but suffice to say what CA really produces, more than tech innovation or Hollywood starlets, is poverty and lousy living standards for most residents. Yet Dems continue to worship at the alter of CA policy as a template for the nation. The US as CA is far more scary than anything Trump can toss at citizens. Dems should not seek to replicate CA, but avoid its' policies, so the rest of the US can avoid CA's economic outcomes.

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Brent Nyitray's avatar

"this feels like the 1979"

Exactly. I read this piece and thought malaise.

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Flyover West's avatar

Very much implied here (see the first sentence of the second paragraph) is that other states should prohibit the in-migration of 1) any white Californian with a net worth of less than $1 million, and 2) any non-white person regardless of net worth. Because California is to other states what shithole countries are to the US as a whole.

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HanoverPhist's avatar

Democrats had 60 available votes - so no filibuster -in the senate during the early part of Obama’s term. They had a choice: Employee Free Choice Act, which would reset economic empowerment and unleash organizing for workers; or Obamacare, which would “expand coverage” and dependency and continue to make government the place that provides free stuff because “healthcare is a right”. One path was about empowerment and self determination for workers and a rebalancing of the economic power structure. The other path was bloated bureaucracy, keeping pharma happy, and greater government dependency. The Democrats chose the path that reflected who they are and what they value. They love public sector unions, not icky blue collar workers. It’s why JD Vance and Josh Hawley are ultimately more prounion in a real way than most progressives who just want social dependence. It’s why Steelworkers and Mineworkers (Rich Trumka’s union) vote for Trump. Democrats were honest about their choice and there is no going back.

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Val's avatar
3dEdited

Good essay, though I'm skeptical that the Dems can rise to the occasion as they are now. Sadly, I don't think they can see past virtue signaling and identity politics. They desperately need a leader who can pierce the impervi-wax bubble they currently inhabit and get them focused on centrist policies that unite, rather than radical ideas that than divide. Gavin Newsom is not that person. He helped build the bubble.

The Republicans, as they have for decades, have tunnel vision regarding tax cuts and a few social issues. Both parties need new leadership, but both parties are glued to the radical ideas pushed by their loud bases.

I've had many discussions with a die-hard Dem. If I say that DEI is a new brand of the same old racism, the response is that it's not such a big deal. If I say that gender ideology is toxic and damaging, the response is that "it's small issue," and besides, these things work themselves out eventually. If I say that swing voters care, the response is that people who vote R are stupid and/or vote against their interests.

I counter that people care very much about the interests of their children , and that DEI and gender ideology threaten them. The response is to ask how I can ignore <insert Republican policy>.

It goes in circles, and there's always a Republican horror policy that's worse than anything the Dems have done. The horror policy is used to justify ignoring Democratic weaknesses. There's absolutely no ability to accept that some Dem policies are wrong, let alone toxic to enough voters to elect Trump and soon, Vance. None.

I'm just hoping that the Dems can come up with someone better than Gavin Newsom, who will lose even more badly than Harris did. I'd rather not vote for Vance, but I will if the alternative is open borders, men are women, and woke racism is virtuous.

I say this as a lifelong Dem who re-registered as an Independent after voting against Biden in the 2024 primaries. I'm furious.

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Ollie Parks's avatar

"Looks like Vassallo took Labor Day off to get really, really high on hopium."

A beautifully written lament, no doubt—but one that floats serenely above the wreckage it surveys. We're told workers need “protection against joblessness” and “a renewed vision of the dignity of work,” as if these are policy levers just waiting to be flipped by someone with enough Ivy League eloquence and good vibes.

What’s missing is any serious engagement with the structural realities of a labor market that no longer has stable anchors, or with the professional activist class that treats struggling baristas less as workers and more as raw material for the next union campaign brochure.

There’s no map here—just mood. It reads like a post-liberal nostalgia trip for a New Deal–era moral economy, updated with the faintest gloss of platform-era angst. All uplift, no scaffolding.

But hey, at least the syntax is clean, and the vibes are strong. That still counts for something in the professional-class ideas economy.

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Deborah's avatar

The period after WWII was a unique moment in history that will not be repeated. The US emerged from the war as the only advanced economy whose homeland and industrial base had not been devastated by the war, and therefore enjoyed a nearly competition-free several decades of prosperity. As other countries recovered from the war, our economic dominance was challenged and the outsourcing of our productive industries to cheaper places began. We can never return to that period so there are no lessons to be learned for fixing today's problems.

In my view, the Democrats, with assistance from the pre-Trump Republicans, created a government-dominated society whose ever-advancing costs and, even more damaging, wildly proliferating regulations, are close to strangling the productive economy. Add that to the hundreds of billions in wasted spending on activist-driven "climate change" so-called "mitigation" efforts, most of which will never produce as much revenue as was spent on them, and even more waste going to the thousands of government-adjacent NGOs for more useless projects, with much of the money channeled to Democrat causes, and we have a perfect storm of a stagnating system where no one can get anything done because of the dead weight of high cost and regulatory strangulation.

I have read dozens of articles on this Substack and in many other places about all the things the Democrats can do to regain some kind of political relevance and possibly provide actual help to people, and I am getting tired of reading the same old recommendations over and over again. First, the current elites of the Party have no intention of doing any of it, and second, it's all just tinkering around the edges. If we want to fix what is wrong, we need to reduce the unbearable burden of regulations, 20-year long permit delays, billions in up-front costs for endless environmental reviews to build anything, to the point where nothing gets built. Even local governments can't fix broken infrastructure without years of permits, lawfare from environmental groups, being forced to pay union "prevailing wages" that are far higher than actual labor costs, all of which add much useless expense to every project. In real-world economics, the capital invested in anything, a tool, a building, a development project, or whatever, must be able to generate a profit within a reasonable period of time, usually no longer than a few years. This means, it returns all the invested capital plus more. If it can't, it is not a good investment. For too long government has been "investing" our tax money in stupid things that will never pay back the capital, much less a profit, and at some point when the capital is never paid back you run out of capital. We are just about there now, with an unsustainable deficit and a sluggish overburdened economy. The so-called Democrat "abundance" agenda is just more of the same old government solutions to everything, dressed up in new packaging. We need to junk a large part of government altogether, the parts that employ people at outrageous salaries to create unnecessary make-work for other people who are trying to get something done in the actual productive economy. We must never forget that although a minimal amount of government is necessary, it should not be the autonomous self-propagating authoritarian entity that it has become. Government should only serve the common good, not rule over us. That concept is anathema to the Progressives, and to most establishment Republicans as well.

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Betsy Chapman's avatar

Not sure increasing labor union protections is a winner. The peak of union membership was in the early fifties when 35% of workers were unionized, in 2024 its down to 9.9%, according to AI.

My suggestion is to find a few 80/20 issues, where 80% of the entire nation support it and only 20% oppose it. The opportunities are many.

Income distribution has lost its pizzazz for many voters as they have seen the money they expected, go instead to the increased cost of living.

Popular is: reducing the K-12 education monopoly, enforcing the laws, keeping people safe in their home, and letting all Americans keep more of their earnings.

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Jim James's avatar

Some realities. First is that private sector unions are dead. A few left in a couple of cities. but the AFL-CIO got lazy in the 1960s, and then took the path of least resistance by organizing government employees. Victories for a while, but pyrrhic when those unions were bargaining against the taxpayers and functioned as protectors of incompetence.

Labor Day was an invention of Grover Cleveland. It was his gesture aimed at the militant unions of the 1890s. The Democrats basically did nothing for organized labor until the 1930s, and they have circled back to the same stance. Oddly enough, if Trump succeeds in bringing manufacturing back to the United States, maybe organized labor will get more clout in 20 or 30 years.

Here's the thing. The unions in the 1930s basically adopted General Motors' annual improvement factor as their own. Their main contributions were in work rules, grievance procedures, and fringe benefits, although the latter was much more of a way around the wage-price controls of World War II than anything else.

Today, federal employee unions are being busted, and the next to go will be the teachers at the state and local levels. The so-called "progressives" have already thrown in the towel on political actions. There was a time when unions were an effective counterweight to corporate money, but now the "progressives" are just as hooked into the billionaires as the wingnuts are. The hour grows dim, and it will only get dimmer. The decline of organized labor has been ongoing for 50 years, and it's not going to be revived in our lifetimes.

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Liberal, not Leftist's avatar

I concur.

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Bob Raphael's avatar

The Democrats have nothing to offer other than pure bullshit from there far left an American anti-Semitic leaders and followers. The Democratic Party will soon be destroyed as Americans wake up.

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ban nock's avatar

Thanks Justin, as usual a ton to think about. Obviously a lot of effort went into the writing. I just read through a second and third time.

You skipped talking about personalities and instead concentrated on broader themes which is where actual understanding comes from.

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Jan Shaw's avatar

I've pretty much given up on the Democrats -- my lifelong political party. The leaders could not be more uninspiring. Democratic party ideas -- what few I've seen -- are so far out of tune with ordinary Americans that it's awful. And -- maybe worse -- they don't much care if workers like them or not That party used to be so vibrant. And now they've become woke, of all things. Uncritically woke. Left their brains elsewhere woke. So much for the big tent and not judging people by the color of their skin. Martin Luther King must be turning in his grave. These days the Democratic poobahs only pay attention to you if you are seriously rich. If you're not, don't bother them. Now it's only a place where any good ideas go to die.

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dan brandt's avatar

Not personal towards Justin, but, It is the public school's stupid.

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Jim James's avatar

And the misuse of apostrophe's. LOL

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dan brandt's avatar

Never did well in writing in school either. But it isn't life altering for me. For others maybe. LOL

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Jim James's avatar

It is probably best to be correct and coherent when commenting on education. Just saying. LOL

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dan brandt's avatar

Would you like to talk about the Air Traffic Control? Every body has their area the function well in, and those areas they don’t. If you can’t trust the internet over math, then how can you trust it for anything?

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Jim James's avatar

Reading, writing, arithmetic. Then air traffic control. LOL

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dan brandt's avatar

How could you miss such an obvious point? People who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. People help people and move on. Some just can't move on, it is against their condescending nature.

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