"Undocumented people are 1% of the population." That would be 3.27 million. The actual number of illegal aliens is at least four times that. How can I vote for a candidate who tells me easily exposed lies and talks in euphemisms like "undocumented people"?
I’m a member of the affluent white upper middle class PMCs (like most of us, I assume). I live in a blue neighborhood in a blue state. Houses start at about $650k and can easily double that. Unskilled illegal immigrants aren’t buying houses here. They’re renting apartments in much cheaper working class neighborhoods-thereby driving up rent. (Recall that it’s hard to build even in red states, let alone blue).
But my leftist neighbors pat themselves on the back about how kind and empathetic they are, unlike all the hate-filled and bigoted poor whites.
Here is the key phrase from Ruy that encapsulates the elite liberal mindset: "The real issues are economic; the culture stuff isn’t important (“a smokescreen”) and not negotiable anyway."
To elite liberals, the culture stuff IS important, emphatically so. If you disagree with them on these issues - even one of them - you are labeled as retrograde (or worse), and if you're an aspiring Democratic politician you are not worth supporting whatever your positions are on other issues. The culture stuff is a screening device: conform 100% to the woke dogmas or give up your political aspirations.
Of course, the salience of culture issues will depend on how well things are going in the economic and foreign policy areas. A deep recession in 2028 will bring Democrats to power, no matter how crazy they are regarded to be on culture issues. Same for a foreign policy calamity, especially a major military defeat. I repeat here for the umpteenth time: a genuine moderate Democrat - a liberal patriot - can win bigly in 2028 if he/she can somehow overcome the crazed Left that currently controls the Democratic nominating process.
> "To elite liberals, the culture stuff IS important, emphatically so."
Moreover, the left is the aggressor in the culture wars. We didn't have an open borders consensus (in fact, Obama recognized that this was a lunch pail issue). We didn't have a "trans autistic girls" consensus. We didn't have a "rapists in women's prisons" consensus. We didn't have a "defund the police" consensus.
But when the right pushes back, the two-faced left acts surprised and affronted, "Why are you fighting culture wars? This doesn't affect you. If you actually cared, you'd team up to fight the billionaires (read: more socialism) who are causing the real problems."
I likely have less than 30 years to live. If I ponder your question until I come up with a plausible answer, I will probably die of old age before I find that answer. Only John Fetterman comes to mind, and even he is liberal on transgenderism.
"Muslims aren't defunding our schools...It's the billionaires and their puppet politicians." No, they aren't. NO ONE is defunding our schools, you lying jerk. "Current expenditures per pupil (in government schools) increased by 13 percent from 2010–11 to 2020–21, after adjusting for inflation." Source: National Center for Education Statistics If you're going to pee on my leg, Talarico, at least you shouldn't tell me that it's raining.
They aren't defunding our schools, they are packing them with administrators: "The number of district administrators in U.S. public schools has grown 87.6 percent between 2000 and 2019 compared to student growth at 7.6 percent and teacher growth at 8.7 percent. The data from the Center for Education Statistics and the U.S. Department of Education was shared by Dr. Larry Arnn, president of Hillsdale College."
They're defunding the schools because they decrease the amount of funding that actually goes to teaching and education. When I was young (a long time ago) my elementary school had a principal, a secretary, and a janitor. The school district (my entire county) had a superintendent, a clerk, and busdrivers. I got a fine K-12 education.
Just to clarify, state labor laws mostly prohibit administrators from joining unions. The number of administrators may be increasing, and for all kinds of reasons, but public employee unions are not among them. Administrators are the people who sit on the opposite side of the bargaining table from union reps.
If the cultural things are not important, as the economic populist crowd claims, then why does any Dem who takes a different tack on cultural issues get tarred and feathered by their own crowd?
Dems are more enamored with these positions than even concerned working class folks. And it is that toe-the-line-or-else attitude that puts the lie to the whole pitch about “trans are only 1%…” or “illegal immigrants are a small minority…”. They make it impossible to buy their economic story when these things are life or death to the party.
Spot on as always. Along with "Orange Man Bad" the other main Dem policy appears to be "Trojan Progressivism". Talarico supports abortion until delivery, destroying childhood fertility and/or removing healthy kid body parts. James notes Jesus was non binary and "science" recognizes 6 genders, before he cheers Open Borders.
These are views unsupported by 80%+ of Americans , but they will suddenly be acceptable, because Talarico is a Minister "populist"?
It is one thing for Dems to voice an "adults should live as they please" view. Most Americans, likely support that position. It is entirely different to lecture it is compassionate to remove and replace childhood genitalia or end child fertility, all before a kid can legally enter into a contract, buy a beer or a tattoo.
Moreover, how could any real populist ever support Open Borders? Cesar Chavez was fiercely anti migrant, but not remotely racist. Chavez understood the wages of the US citizen farm laborers he led, had no prayer of rising if an endless supply of exploitable labor crossed the border.
The above explains Obama's "Deporter in Chief" title. Obama is not racist. He knew South Side Chicago residents were far less likely to improve their lot in life, if forced to compete with imported cheaper labor, who never complained about wages, working conditions or sexual harassment.
Moreover, such workers compete with low income US citizens, not just for employment, but scarce affordable housing and other resources. The undocumented that now comprise 10% of Chicago's population are not raising rents or clogging ERs on the North Shore. They do not drain school or local govt budgets in Winnetka and Hinsdale.
If Reps do not figure out a way to counter the Trojan Horse Party, Dems may be successful in the short run, but not over time. Talarico as a Trojan Longhorn and Beshear as a Trojan Thoroughbred . . . will eventually spell Dem doom. The Biden/Spanberger well, likely has a point where it runs dry. Sounding moderate during the campaign, only to govern as AOC will eventually backfire. Most of the US is not SF or the Bronx. At age 80, extremes driven by Trump hatred will fade.
Unless of course, Dems actually utilize their wins to really burn it all down. Pack the Court, add states, and open borders permanently.
> "Unless of course, Dems actually utilize their wins to really burn it all down. Pack the Court, add states, and open borders permanently."
Spain recently naturalized 500,000 immigrants with the express purposes of offsetting conservative voters. If the Democrats win the Presidency in 2028, and all three branches of government, then they could abolish the filibuster and turn the entire US into California. Grant citizenship to the vast majority of illegals from the Biden era and re-open the borders to an eternal stream of new citizens. That would be the end of conservatism in the United States and grant the left a permanent electoral majority that would easily last 50 years.
But would they? I've realized that the left creates these doomer fantasies about Trump because they want to be proven right about Trump's supposed "authoritarianism". I don't want to fall into the same levels of derangement as the left.
I think Teixeira is right that Democrats are trying to answer cultural populism with economic populism alone. It was obvious in their State of the a union rebuttal. But that isn’t just a messaging choice. It’s a design issue.
The Democratic Party is structured as a coalition built around protecting minority claims and avoiding exclusion. That design has moral weight. But it also makes it very hard to engage cultural populism directly, because doing so requires drawing boundaries and defining a shared practical center. And inside that coalition, defining a center immediately raises the question: who gets to define it, and whose norms are being privileged?
So the party defaults to economics. It’s the safest common ground internally. But that’s not where cultural populism is operating. Voters who are reacting to questions of order, norms, authority, and institutional gatekeeping won’t feel answered by an economic-only response.
In that sense, what we’re seeing isn’t confusion. It’s design delivering its natural output. Until that structural tension is addressed, economic populism will keep running into the same wall.
I am old enough to have met with people who lived under Nazi Germany, including in the labor camps. Almost all of them did not despise Hitler. Hitler was a tinny voice in a speaker mounted near the ceiling. What they did despise were the Little Hitlers, the lower-level Nazi functionaries. These were the people who Ruled their lives and made a point of insisting they knew it.
All authoritarian governments need their lower-level enforcers stationed throughout society. Under the Communists in the Soviet Union and its subjugated nations, they were called "commissars." Even the units in their armed forces had commissars attached to them to monitor their commitment to the "party line" decreed from above.
The enforcers of DEI that were installed throughout American society by the Biden regime remind me of them. In saying that, I'm equally wary of the Trump variety of authoritarianism cloaked in the American flag.
There are two different economic issues here. The first includes resentment like why can't the attendees of Sanders/AOC rallies have the things the billionaires have. The second economic issues is wages and income related. Like when illegal immigrants take over every single job in a localized specialized trade, like drywall or flatwork. Economic populism as practiced by the current Democratic party refuses to address the second much more widespread economic populism.
Instead we label people racist and xenophobic, and granted, there certainly are some, but of late the entire working class is including minorities, and they vote every four years.
The elites are no longer very elite. Haven't read the books they were supposed to, not bilingual even in a romance language, no art on the walls. They identify as elites by the causes they support, brands they buy, and credentialed jobs they hold.
> "The elites are no longer very elite. Haven't read the books they were supposed to, not bilingual even in a romance language, no art on the walls. They identify as elites by the causes they support, brands they buy, and credentialed jobs they hold."
This is such a fantastic point. I grew up with genuinely elite parents who listened to classical music and read history and philosophy. I've never seen my mom watch TV except for the occasional Shakespeare production. As a child I assumed all parents did this and was surprised to find that my friends' parents listened to rock music instead of classical.
I used to read Slate.com regularly (it's a disaster now), and I remember in the early 2000s that their coverage started to feature (1) food and alcohol, and (2) television. And the smart people at work would openly discuss TV shows and what the merits of Tivo.
We haven't just dumbed down higher education, we've also dumbed down elite culture in general. But they think of themselves the same way the previous and genuinely educated culture did, but with less humility.
It is becoming increasingly clear that large minorities of Muslims make a country far less safe, to the point of turning it into third world status. Great Britain is now Mediocre Britain. A few Eurosa have realized too late they must deport large number of Muslims. But this is true of any "immigrants" who aren't here to assimilate in all ways. As long as Democrats have Ilhan Omar and Tlaib as their "face," they are screwed. And their subservience to the Islamic element of the base is one reason why probably the best candidate they might have, Shapiro, will never ever win a nomination (Civil War #1)
BTW, in other matters, PA after 2 reports of very slight D voter reg increases, is back to strong R increases. My guess is that the total departure from the D party by November since 2024 will be along the lines of 1.5 million. Most sources put the illegal population at 12.5-17 million, not 3. That would mean that Trump has deported about 25% of all illegals. Further, I think most people would assume that if they vote, they vote D. How many voted? No one knows, but let's use a conservative estimate of 50%, or anywhere from 6-8.5 million. By November, that number will be down around 1.5 million illegal "voters." Combined with that earlier 1.5m registration collapse and voter roll purges, I think you're probably looking at whatever the 2022 turnout for Ds was, then subtract about 3m nationally.
I agree, but to be historically accurate, that has been the case with all immigrants everywhere, including in America. My ancestors were German and I am particularly aware that there were German communities that took decades to fully assimilate. I will also note, however, that they shared most of the basic cultural values as others from Europe (and even from Eastern Asia). Too many recent immigrants don’t, and the U.S. already has too many people for long term sustainability at a high quality of life.
I disagree. FAIR puts it at 12.5-17m. I think they're real low---that many came in under Biden alone. ICE took out 13,000 in MN. What do you wanna bet there are still over 100,000 illegals still there? But we're about to find out real soon.
How far down will Democrat #s go? That is the indicator.
- Biden got 80 million votes in 2020, and as we all know, Obama was the deporter-in-chief. Illegal immigration only ramped up in 2020
- Harris got 75 million votes in 2025, a loss of 5 million.
Yes there were a lot of mail-in shenanigans due to breaking voting rules (Covid is not an excuse) but I don't think you can plausibly argue that the Democrats gained 8 million voters between 2020 and 2024 given that drop.
Totally disagree. There is a near straight line in D turnout for presidential elections from 2012-2024 with one astounding, glaring outlier: 2020. We're talking about a leap of millions. Yeah, it was 100% fraud and the GA investigations are just the tip of the iceberg in proving this. Stay tuned!
Meanwhile, IF I'm right, Ds would have to turn out at last 10 MILLION additional voters just to be competitive in 2028. Which is where this is heading. But, let's see if I'm right. I was 100% DEAD ON in 2016 when no one said Trump could win and, using voter reg stats, I concluded he would win with "between 300 and 320 EVs (final 304). In June 2024, I said that he would win with 312 EVs and 1.5% pop margin. (Perfect). The only predition I've had wrong was . . . you guessed it . . . 2020. So we'll see.
The Democrats’ other major problem is that most American economic populists want good paying jobs with good benefits, while all they are selling is government handouts.
1. I remember a TV commercial where an older white guy in a suit is telling a young subordinate to "stick it to the man." The young man replies, "Uh, sir . . . you are the man."
2. Trump won't be on the ballot in 2028. The D's will need to beat a smoother and smarter candidate (Rubio?).
3. Immigrants who are far different from us do change an culture more rapidly than you think. Talk to people of Christian or Jewish faith in Hamtramck or Dearborn. But discussion of this quickly is branded bigotted or racist, or at least xenophobic. Most of us have a little xenophobe in us, whether we admit it or not.
4. To win, the D's will need to abandon the tiny planks that loom so large in the common person's mind.
Perhaps this dilemma in messaging and non-negotiable positions won’t be resolved until the baby boomers pass from the scene and even the wokesters are gone. A new generation of activists would solve the problem. In the mean time, serious people who need to be at the policy table will likely be Republicans (in name only).
I am fighting for America in a new and different way, via an online “third path” to a better societal problem solving future at EthicalGovtNow.org. I urge all liberal thinkers to visit today, evaluate our path and join our patriotic movement.
The GOP mandarines fought the changes Trump espoused. They lost and Trumps changes (which would have been “democrat” policies for JFK or LBJ) formatted the GOP. This change was sold by Trump, not invented by him. It’s not Trumps manner that is effective it’s his implementation. Blitz politics. That fact keeps fueling the crat jihad….and their failure to engage successfully.
I think that whenever someone uses "populism" they are angry about the way that the other party is distracting the rubes from the Real Issues.
So our Democratic friends think that cultural populism is distracting from the Real Issues of billionaire not paying their fair share.
Republicans think that economic populism is distracting from the Real Issues of the laptop class's war on the straight white middle class with DEI and gender and climate and immigration and anti-police craziness.
"Undocumented people are 1% of the population." That would be 3.27 million. The actual number of illegal aliens is at least four times that. How can I vote for a candidate who tells me easily exposed lies and talks in euphemisms like "undocumented people"?
Undocumented sounds like "Yeah, I have documents but the dog ate them."
I’m a member of the affluent white upper middle class PMCs (like most of us, I assume). I live in a blue neighborhood in a blue state. Houses start at about $650k and can easily double that. Unskilled illegal immigrants aren’t buying houses here. They’re renting apartments in much cheaper working class neighborhoods-thereby driving up rent. (Recall that it’s hard to build even in red states, let alone blue).
But my leftist neighbors pat themselves on the back about how kind and empathetic they are, unlike all the hate-filled and bigoted poor whites.
Here is the key phrase from Ruy that encapsulates the elite liberal mindset: "The real issues are economic; the culture stuff isn’t important (“a smokescreen”) and not negotiable anyway."
To elite liberals, the culture stuff IS important, emphatically so. If you disagree with them on these issues - even one of them - you are labeled as retrograde (or worse), and if you're an aspiring Democratic politician you are not worth supporting whatever your positions are on other issues. The culture stuff is a screening device: conform 100% to the woke dogmas or give up your political aspirations.
Of course, the salience of culture issues will depend on how well things are going in the economic and foreign policy areas. A deep recession in 2028 will bring Democrats to power, no matter how crazy they are regarded to be on culture issues. Same for a foreign policy calamity, especially a major military defeat. I repeat here for the umpteenth time: a genuine moderate Democrat - a liberal patriot - can win bigly in 2028 if he/she can somehow overcome the crazed Left that currently controls the Democratic nominating process.
> "To elite liberals, the culture stuff IS important, emphatically so."
Moreover, the left is the aggressor in the culture wars. We didn't have an open borders consensus (in fact, Obama recognized that this was a lunch pail issue). We didn't have a "trans autistic girls" consensus. We didn't have a "rapists in women's prisons" consensus. We didn't have a "defund the police" consensus.
But when the right pushes back, the two-faced left acts surprised and affronted, "Why are you fighting culture wars? This doesn't affect you. If you actually cared, you'd team up to fight the billionaires (read: more socialism) who are causing the real problems."
Can you name a "genuine moderate Democrat"?
I likely have less than 30 years to live. If I ponder your question until I come up with a plausible answer, I will probably die of old age before I find that answer. Only John Fetterman comes to mind, and even he is liberal on transgenderism.
"Muslims aren't defunding our schools...It's the billionaires and their puppet politicians." No, they aren't. NO ONE is defunding our schools, you lying jerk. "Current expenditures per pupil (in government schools) increased by 13 percent from 2010–11 to 2020–21, after adjusting for inflation." Source: National Center for Education Statistics If you're going to pee on my leg, Talarico, at least you shouldn't tell me that it's raining.
Public employee unions are defunding our schools.
They aren't defunding our schools, they are packing them with administrators: "The number of district administrators in U.S. public schools has grown 87.6 percent between 2000 and 2019 compared to student growth at 7.6 percent and teacher growth at 8.7 percent. The data from the Center for Education Statistics and the U.S. Department of Education was shared by Dr. Larry Arnn, president of Hillsdale College."
They're defunding the schools because they decrease the amount of funding that actually goes to teaching and education. When I was young (a long time ago) my elementary school had a principal, a secretary, and a janitor. The school district (my entire county) had a superintendent, a clerk, and busdrivers. I got a fine K-12 education.
Just to clarify, state labor laws mostly prohibit administrators from joining unions. The number of administrators may be increasing, and for all kinds of reasons, but public employee unions are not among them. Administrators are the people who sit on the opposite side of the bargaining table from union reps.
If the cultural things are not important, as the economic populist crowd claims, then why does any Dem who takes a different tack on cultural issues get tarred and feathered by their own crowd?
Dems are more enamored with these positions than even concerned working class folks. And it is that toe-the-line-or-else attitude that puts the lie to the whole pitch about “trans are only 1%…” or “illegal immigrants are a small minority…”. They make it impossible to buy their economic story when these things are life or death to the party.
Spot on as always. Along with "Orange Man Bad" the other main Dem policy appears to be "Trojan Progressivism". Talarico supports abortion until delivery, destroying childhood fertility and/or removing healthy kid body parts. James notes Jesus was non binary and "science" recognizes 6 genders, before he cheers Open Borders.
These are views unsupported by 80%+ of Americans , but they will suddenly be acceptable, because Talarico is a Minister "populist"?
It is one thing for Dems to voice an "adults should live as they please" view. Most Americans, likely support that position. It is entirely different to lecture it is compassionate to remove and replace childhood genitalia or end child fertility, all before a kid can legally enter into a contract, buy a beer or a tattoo.
Moreover, how could any real populist ever support Open Borders? Cesar Chavez was fiercely anti migrant, but not remotely racist. Chavez understood the wages of the US citizen farm laborers he led, had no prayer of rising if an endless supply of exploitable labor crossed the border.
The above explains Obama's "Deporter in Chief" title. Obama is not racist. He knew South Side Chicago residents were far less likely to improve their lot in life, if forced to compete with imported cheaper labor, who never complained about wages, working conditions or sexual harassment.
Moreover, such workers compete with low income US citizens, not just for employment, but scarce affordable housing and other resources. The undocumented that now comprise 10% of Chicago's population are not raising rents or clogging ERs on the North Shore. They do not drain school or local govt budgets in Winnetka and Hinsdale.
If Reps do not figure out a way to counter the Trojan Horse Party, Dems may be successful in the short run, but not over time. Talarico as a Trojan Longhorn and Beshear as a Trojan Thoroughbred . . . will eventually spell Dem doom. The Biden/Spanberger well, likely has a point where it runs dry. Sounding moderate during the campaign, only to govern as AOC will eventually backfire. Most of the US is not SF or the Bronx. At age 80, extremes driven by Trump hatred will fade.
Unless of course, Dems actually utilize their wins to really burn it all down. Pack the Court, add states, and open borders permanently.
> "Unless of course, Dems actually utilize their wins to really burn it all down. Pack the Court, add states, and open borders permanently."
Spain recently naturalized 500,000 immigrants with the express purposes of offsetting conservative voters. If the Democrats win the Presidency in 2028, and all three branches of government, then they could abolish the filibuster and turn the entire US into California. Grant citizenship to the vast majority of illegals from the Biden era and re-open the borders to an eternal stream of new citizens. That would be the end of conservatism in the United States and grant the left a permanent electoral majority that would easily last 50 years.
But would they? I've realized that the left creates these doomer fantasies about Trump because they want to be proven right about Trump's supposed "authoritarianism". I don't want to fall into the same levels of derangement as the left.
I wanted to give you 11 RED HEART LIKES ‘cuz “that’s more than 10!” but the BlogMaster threatened to whip me again.
I think Teixeira is right that Democrats are trying to answer cultural populism with economic populism alone. It was obvious in their State of the a union rebuttal. But that isn’t just a messaging choice. It’s a design issue.
The Democratic Party is structured as a coalition built around protecting minority claims and avoiding exclusion. That design has moral weight. But it also makes it very hard to engage cultural populism directly, because doing so requires drawing boundaries and defining a shared practical center. And inside that coalition, defining a center immediately raises the question: who gets to define it, and whose norms are being privileged?
So the party defaults to economics. It’s the safest common ground internally. But that’s not where cultural populism is operating. Voters who are reacting to questions of order, norms, authority, and institutional gatekeeping won’t feel answered by an economic-only response.
In that sense, what we’re seeing isn’t confusion. It’s design delivering its natural output. Until that structural tension is addressed, economic populism will keep running into the same wall.
I am old enough to have met with people who lived under Nazi Germany, including in the labor camps. Almost all of them did not despise Hitler. Hitler was a tinny voice in a speaker mounted near the ceiling. What they did despise were the Little Hitlers, the lower-level Nazi functionaries. These were the people who Ruled their lives and made a point of insisting they knew it.
All authoritarian governments need their lower-level enforcers stationed throughout society. Under the Communists in the Soviet Union and its subjugated nations, they were called "commissars." Even the units in their armed forces had commissars attached to them to monitor their commitment to the "party line" decreed from above.
The enforcers of DEI that were installed throughout American society by the Biden regime remind me of them. In saying that, I'm equally wary of the Trump variety of authoritarianism cloaked in the American flag.
There are two different economic issues here. The first includes resentment like why can't the attendees of Sanders/AOC rallies have the things the billionaires have. The second economic issues is wages and income related. Like when illegal immigrants take over every single job in a localized specialized trade, like drywall or flatwork. Economic populism as practiced by the current Democratic party refuses to address the second much more widespread economic populism.
Instead we label people racist and xenophobic, and granted, there certainly are some, but of late the entire working class is including minorities, and they vote every four years.
The elites are no longer very elite. Haven't read the books they were supposed to, not bilingual even in a romance language, no art on the walls. They identify as elites by the causes they support, brands they buy, and credentialed jobs they hold.
AI can't come fast enough.
> "The elites are no longer very elite. Haven't read the books they were supposed to, not bilingual even in a romance language, no art on the walls. They identify as elites by the causes they support, brands they buy, and credentialed jobs they hold."
This is such a fantastic point. I grew up with genuinely elite parents who listened to classical music and read history and philosophy. I've never seen my mom watch TV except for the occasional Shakespeare production. As a child I assumed all parents did this and was surprised to find that my friends' parents listened to rock music instead of classical.
I used to read Slate.com regularly (it's a disaster now), and I remember in the early 2000s that their coverage started to feature (1) food and alcohol, and (2) television. And the smart people at work would openly discuss TV shows and what the merits of Tivo.
We haven't just dumbed down higher education, we've also dumbed down elite culture in general. But they think of themselves the same way the previous and genuinely educated culture did, but with less humility.
It is becoming increasingly clear that large minorities of Muslims make a country far less safe, to the point of turning it into third world status. Great Britain is now Mediocre Britain. A few Eurosa have realized too late they must deport large number of Muslims. But this is true of any "immigrants" who aren't here to assimilate in all ways. As long as Democrats have Ilhan Omar and Tlaib as their "face," they are screwed. And their subservience to the Islamic element of the base is one reason why probably the best candidate they might have, Shapiro, will never ever win a nomination (Civil War #1)
BTW, in other matters, PA after 2 reports of very slight D voter reg increases, is back to strong R increases. My guess is that the total departure from the D party by November since 2024 will be along the lines of 1.5 million. Most sources put the illegal population at 12.5-17 million, not 3. That would mean that Trump has deported about 25% of all illegals. Further, I think most people would assume that if they vote, they vote D. How many voted? No one knows, but let's use a conservative estimate of 50%, or anywhere from 6-8.5 million. By November, that number will be down around 1.5 million illegal "voters." Combined with that earlier 1.5m registration collapse and voter roll purges, I think you're probably looking at whatever the 2022 turnout for Ds was, then subtract about 3m nationally.
Too many recent immigrants are "settlers" who want to recreate the culture and institutions they left on the ashes of the current "indigenous".
I agree, but to be historically accurate, that has been the case with all immigrants everywhere, including in America. My ancestors were German and I am particularly aware that there were German communities that took decades to fully assimilate. I will also note, however, that they shared most of the basic cultural values as others from Europe (and even from Eastern Asia). Too many recent immigrants don’t, and the U.S. already has too many people for long term sustainability at a high quality of life.
The Democrats are in a state of Radical Islam Denial. They will never say the words Jihad, Sharia Law, or Radical Islam. Ignoring the growing threat.
Or Taqqiya
I think the numbers of illegal immigrants voting is significant, but much less than 50%. If we had a betting pool, I’d say 5%.
I disagree. FAIR puts it at 12.5-17m. I think they're real low---that many came in under Biden alone. ICE took out 13,000 in MN. What do you wanna bet there are still over 100,000 illegals still there? But we're about to find out real soon.
How far down will Democrat #s go? That is the indicator.
FAIR estimates that 12 to 17 million illegal immigrants are voting? How did they get those numbers?
No. FAIR says there are between 12.5 and 17m illegals here (contra the 3m advanced earlier). It is MY estimate that 50% vote. I think that may be low.
We're gonna find out real soon.
I don't think 50% is even close to accurate.
- Biden got 80 million votes in 2020, and as we all know, Obama was the deporter-in-chief. Illegal immigration only ramped up in 2020
- Harris got 75 million votes in 2025, a loss of 5 million.
Yes there were a lot of mail-in shenanigans due to breaking voting rules (Covid is not an excuse) but I don't think you can plausibly argue that the Democrats gained 8 million voters between 2020 and 2024 given that drop.
Totally disagree. There is a near straight line in D turnout for presidential elections from 2012-2024 with one astounding, glaring outlier: 2020. We're talking about a leap of millions. Yeah, it was 100% fraud and the GA investigations are just the tip of the iceberg in proving this. Stay tuned!
Meanwhile, IF I'm right, Ds would have to turn out at last 10 MILLION additional voters just to be competitive in 2028. Which is where this is heading. But, let's see if I'm right. I was 100% DEAD ON in 2016 when no one said Trump could win and, using voter reg stats, I concluded he would win with "between 300 and 320 EVs (final 304). In June 2024, I said that he would win with 312 EVs and 1.5% pop margin. (Perfect). The only predition I've had wrong was . . . you guessed it . . . 2020. So we'll see.
The Democrats’ other major problem is that most American economic populists want good paying jobs with good benefits, while all they are selling is government handouts.
1. I remember a TV commercial where an older white guy in a suit is telling a young subordinate to "stick it to the man." The young man replies, "Uh, sir . . . you are the man."
2. Trump won't be on the ballot in 2028. The D's will need to beat a smoother and smarter candidate (Rubio?).
3. Immigrants who are far different from us do change an culture more rapidly than you think. Talk to people of Christian or Jewish faith in Hamtramck or Dearborn. But discussion of this quickly is branded bigotted or racist, or at least xenophobic. Most of us have a little xenophobe in us, whether we admit it or not.
4. To win, the D's will need to abandon the tiny planks that loom so large in the common person's mind.
Perhaps this dilemma in messaging and non-negotiable positions won’t be resolved until the baby boomers pass from the scene and even the wokesters are gone. A new generation of activists would solve the problem. In the mean time, serious people who need to be at the policy table will likely be Republicans (in name only).
The youngest Baby Boomers are now age 61. It might be a bit, before they are all gone.
Have a read a few different pieces, hypothesizing, Gen Z will be the most like Boomers, in political and cultural trends. We shall see.
Mrs
I am fighting for America in a new and different way, via an online “third path” to a better societal problem solving future at EthicalGovtNow.org. I urge all liberal thinkers to visit today, evaluate our path and join our patriotic movement.
The GOP mandarines fought the changes Trump espoused. They lost and Trumps changes (which would have been “democrat” policies for JFK or LBJ) formatted the GOP. This change was sold by Trump, not invented by him. It’s not Trumps manner that is effective it’s his implementation. Blitz politics. That fact keeps fueling the crat jihad….and their failure to engage successfully.
Ruy reminds me of John the Baptist.
I think that whenever someone uses "populism" they are angry about the way that the other party is distracting the rubes from the Real Issues.
So our Democratic friends think that cultural populism is distracting from the Real Issues of billionaire not paying their fair share.
Republicans think that economic populism is distracting from the Real Issues of the laptop class's war on the straight white middle class with DEI and gender and climate and immigration and anti-police craziness.