As you guys know, I discount polls including the recent one showing Trump at 50%.
I thought Ds were starting to turn it around in PA when, for 2 straight reports, they made minimal gains there . . . but nope. Back to GOP gains yet again, suggesting internal pushes for registration. The idiotic "jungle primary" scheme to perpetually elect Ds in CA is backfiring now, with the top two in the governor's race according to "ahem" polls being Rs. After pruning MN of 13,000 illegals, Trump moved out, but the deportations continue at record pace. I know you don't like to hear it but yes, many of these people vote, and no, they won't be voting D any more. Let's say it's "only" 50% who vote, so with 3.5m gone in just 14 mo., the Ds have nationally lost another 1.7 million off their rolls, not even mentioning the continued D-R or D-I registration shifts in every state we can track. Loosely, this translates to another 2m net Rs (or 2m fewer Ds) than just 14 months ago.
Somehow, Rs have hung on since Nov. to win 4/7 special elections, though the one in TX got all the media.
And despite the Supes ruling, the economy is starting to really heat up again. I maintain my prediction that Rs hold the House by 2-5, add a NH seat in the Senate. And J.D. Vance is still on my scorecard at 320 EVs in 2028, but as I'm sure you've noticed there is a three-way battle for the D nomination among Newsome, Mamdani, and Harris. I don't know why Ds don't like Newsome, but apparently they don't, and 30% love the Amazing Zohran and wouldn't care what the constitution says about nominating him. I think this explains the recent Harris push---she is the only one capable of NOT being blown out (but would still lose).
Not if they don't go out. The next thing will be a crackdown on ballots themselves. That's a' comin'. I don't care where it is, Ds are going to be down about 3m "voters" at least in the next election, and 10m after that.
As you guys know, I discount polls including the recent one showing Trump at 50%.
I thought Ds were starting to turn it around in PA when, for 2 straight reports, they made minimal gains there . . . but nope. Back to GOP gains yet again, suggesting internal pushes for registration. The idiotic "jungle primary" scheme to perpetually elect Ds in CA is backfiring now, with the top two in the governor's race according to "ahem" polls being Rs. After pruning MN of 13,000 illegals, Trump moved out, but the deportations continue at record pace. I know you don't like to hear it but yes, many of these people vote, and no, they won't be voting D any more. Let's say it's "only" 50% who vote, so with 3.5m gone in just 14 mo., the Ds have nationally lost another 1.7 million off their rolls, not even mentioning the continued D-R or D-I registration shifts in every state we can track. Loosely, this translates to another 2m net Rs (or 2m fewer Ds) than just 14 months ago.
Somehow, Rs have hung on since Nov. to win 4/7 special elections, though the one in TX got all the media.
And despite the Supes ruling, the economy is starting to really heat up again. I maintain my prediction that Rs hold the House by 2-5, add a NH seat in the Senate. And J.D. Vance is still on my scorecard at 320 EVs in 2028, but as I'm sure you've noticed there is a three-way battle for the D nomination among Newsome, Mamdani, and Harris. I don't know why Ds don't like Newsome, but apparently they don't, and 30% love the Amazing Zohran and wouldn't care what the constitution says about nominating him. I think this explains the recent Harris push---she is the only one capable of NOT being blown out (but would still lose).
They will still be voting. Minnesota will accept their absentee ballots.
Not if they don't go out. The next thing will be a crackdown on ballots themselves. That's a' comin'. I don't care where it is, Ds are going to be down about 3m "voters" at least in the next election, and 10m after that.